Fewer U.S. Twins and the Development of IVF

Readers of this blog may have seen the report in the general press that, after three decades of increases, the rate of twin births in the U.S. has declined by 4% from 2014 to 2018.

Those three decades correspond to the era of IVF, since the birth of Louise Brown in England in 1978.  It seems likely that changes in IVF practice contributes at least in part, if not substantially, to the trend in twin births.

Specifically, doctors at IVF clinics are more commonly implanting only one, rather than more than one, embryo back into a prospective mother’s womb with each attempt at a live birth.  Multiple pregnancies—even twins, not just “Octomom” scenarios—carry increased risk for mother and babies.  Previously, two or more embryos were implanted in an effort to increase the chance that at least one would make it to live birth.  Sometimes, “selective abortion” was practiced to reduce the number of initially multiple pregnancies to one.  Now, it appears that gradually increasing success rates of IVF are supporting single-embryo transfer as a standard practice.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), which provides a substantial amount of information on the current status of IVF on its website, summarizes the changes in the percentage of single-embryo transfers in recent years—increasing from 11.6% of non-donor-egg transfers in 2007 to 39.9% in 2016.

To the extent that this reduces the practice of selective abortion and, one hopes, decreases the number of embryos created but kept frozen, never to be born, at IVF clinics, this is a welcome development.  The Christian Medical Dental Association takes the position that, in IVF, the number of embryos should be kept to a minimum, and all embryos created should be so created with the intent of having the genetic mother carry all of them in pregnancy, to live birth one hopes.

IVF remains a transformative enabling technology that facilitates contractual arrangements for reproduction, profound changes in the structure of families, and the use of pre-implantation genetic diagnosis to control what sort of people are allowed to be born.  One might view these developments as non-physical harms, that alter our overall experience of being human in ways that may properly be subject to question.

And: the rate of twin birth is still twice what it was in 1980.  If one sees a mom or dad pushing a stroller with fraternal twins, chances are they are IVF kids.

“Velvet Eugenics”

Human Flourishing in an Age of Gene Editing is a new collection of essays, edited by Erik Parens and Josephine Johnson.  In the introduction, the editors explain they are concerned with “nonphysical harms” of human gene editing.  That is, these harms would not affect bodily systems, but harm “people’s psyches…[their] experiences of being persons,” and could impair human flourishing.  These harms could be incurred not only by gene editing but also by use of other “reprogenic” technologies such as preimplantation genetic diagnosis (PGD) and prenatal diagnosis.

Your correspondent has just begun to read this collection.  In the first entry, “Welcoming the Unexpected,” bioethicist Rosemarie Garland-Thomson of Emory University, takes the view that flourishing is not a matter of proximity to some ideal of health or human excellence, but is, for each person, a growing into expression of that person’s unique capabilities.  Accordingly, rather than embrace a project of eliminating disabilities, society should work to make the environment more welcoming to people with those conditions—many of which, after all, need not impair a person’s ability to live a life of happiness and contribution to others.  Communities have an obligation, she says, “to support the distinctiveness of its members according to the egalitarian principles of justice, liberty, and equality,” and “build environments that…support the widest spectrum of embodiments…in which human embodied existence can successfully thrive as it is.”  Put another way, we should not be building a regime in which we are deciding what sort of people we will allow to be born, but we should be ready to welcome and embrace the ones who are.  In this, Professor Garland-Thomson sounds a “caution against an aggressive normalization imperative…an outlook of humility about the human capacity to control future circumstances through present action…against the arrogance of [what one writer called] ‘the danger of a single story.'”

We should, she writes, adopt a stance of “growing” rather than “making” human beings, and “reconsider the logic of a velvet eugenics that would standardize human variation in the interest of individual, market-driven liberty and at the expense of social justice and the common good.”  In this, she embraces the argument of contemporary German philosopher Jurgen Habermas that rejects “a liberal eugenics regulated by supply and demand.”  One can be forgiven for hearing in this an echo of C.S. Lewis’s worries about “conditioners” in The Abolition of Man.

This is set in the author’s description of her ongoing friendship with three other women, all, like her, married PhD’s who like good wine, good food, and are amply supported by technology and community.  One of her friends is congenitally deaf, another has hereditary blindness, the third has a genetic muscular condition, and the author herself was born with what is now called “complicated ectodactyly,” with “asymmetric unusual hands and forearms.”  The sort of thing your correspondent understands the Chinese to be trying to eliminate through the use of PGD.

A remarkable essay to lead off a collection that appears worthy of careful consideration.

Heritable genome editing: a too-short list of 12 questions

Last week, I discussed efforts by a US/UK commission formed to recommend a framework for regulating and monitoring heritable human gene editing.  This commission has called for “expert evidence” to assist them in the task “to develop a framework for considering technical, scientific, medical, regulatory, and ethical requirements for human germline genome editing, should society conclude such applications are acceptable.”  The deadline is September 27, 2019 to make recommendations.  The website to do so appears open to the public. 

Now, I suppose the commission will ultimately decide who qualifies as an “expert,” and several of the questions are decidedly technical.  But I submit that many who read this blog qualify as experts in bioethics or in some aspect of biomedicine, and will be able to offer considered responses to at least some of the questions.  So I encourage readers of this blog to access the link and weigh in.

I have yet to complete my effort.  I started last week, then pulled back in the middle.  Responses to each question appear to be submitted in real time, and the possibility to save work (there are ‘”back” and “next” buttons) for future editing seemed unclear.  And these questions merit careful responses.  So I decided to wait for another day—before the September 27 deadline!

If you would like to mull over possible responses in advance of trying to offer them online, I have copied them here, for advance thinking before submitting at the online portal, or to inform reflection and discussion otherwise:

  1. Which diseases and conditions, if any, do you see as appropriate for human germline genome editing?
  2. If there were to be an appropriate use case for human germline genome editing, what evidence would be needed to proceed to first in human use?
  3. What is the status of editing mechanisms for early stage human embryos (e.g., using different editing techniques, improving homology directed repair, etc.)? What are the factors that predict whether single nucleotide changes or other intended modifications in human embryos will be correct? To what extent will genome editing affect the viability of embryos?
  4. What is the status of the technology for validating that a correct edit (on target characterization) has been made and that unintended edits (e.g., off target effects, mosaicism, etc.) have not occurred in a range of cell and tissue types? If possible, please provide evidence drawn from work on induced pluripotent stem cells, embryonic stem cells, and/or early stage human embryos.
  5. What is the status of generating cell lines from human and non-human germline stem cells?
  6. How might animal models inform the editing in human embryos (inclusive of analysis of phenotypic correction)?
  7. To what extent do different genetic backgrounds affect success and phenotypic outcomes after genome editing?
  8. What is the success rate of full-term pregnancies following pre-implantation genetic diagnosis? What affects this (e.g., age, number of oocytes harvested, technique used, etc.)?
  9. What are the appropriate mechanisms for obtaining informed consent, long-term monitoring of the future children, assessing potential effects in subsequent generations, and addressing untoward effects? Are there best practices from: a) assisted reproductive technologies; b) pre-implantation genetic diagnosis; c) gene transfer research for children; d) mitochondrial replacement therapy; and e) somatic genome editing?
  10. How should we think about the inter-generational medical (e.g., genetic changes to the genome) and ethical implications of human germline genome editing (e.g., potential harms and benefits)? How should the rights of future generations and the wider human population be taken into account?
  11. What international oversight structures would need to be in place to facilitate, in a responsible way, a path forward for germline genome editing?
  12. Are there any topics or issues that are not covered by the above questions that you think the Commission should attend to during its deliberations?

This last question, of course, is the most pregnant of all.  The list of questions is so technical, so question-begging about whether heritable gene editing should be done at all, that the commission should receive carefully-considered reflections on the meaning of the potential enterprise, how the future practice of heritable genome editing should not be a foregone conclusion, and how and why the right answer to “when should we edit human genes heritably” might well be “never.”

By all means, reader of this blog, go online and offer what you reasonably can to this important discussion!

Much going on about heritable genome editing

The first meeting of the International Commission on the Clinical Use of Human Germline Genome Editing was held in Washington, DC on August 13.  This is a US/UK commission convened by the UK Royal Society, the US National Academy of Medicine, and the US National Academy of the Sciences.  Space for in-person attendance at these meetings appears limited, but information is freely accessible on the internet.  For example, the meeting materials and videos from the August 13 can be accessed here, and one can register to be on the Commission’s mailing list at this link. 

It is challenging for anyone with a “day job” whose work is not dedicated to the field of gene editing to try to keep up with developments, so the open access to information is welcome.  The August 13 meeting included numerous basic science discussions as well as some from biotechnology companies seeking to develop gene editing approaches.  As discussed often on this blog and elsewhere, so-called “somatic” gene editing—that is, gene therapy of fully-formed individuals by editing an undesirable gene such as one known to cause disease–appears generally to fall within the existing regime of human research ethics and regulation and pose relatively few unique ethical issues.   The day included industry presentations regarding somatic gene editing, either “in vivo”—involving injecting the gene editor into a person—or “ex vivo”—involving removing cells from a person, editing the cells in the medical lab, then re-injecting the gene-edited cells into the person’s body as a form of treatment.  In neither case is the editing inherited across generations, avoiding the larger issues of manipulating human beings more fundamentally, and, as your present correspondent has consistently argued, unacceptably.

Even for somatic gene editing, however, “getting it right” in the form of editing the genes intended, and only those, and developing approaches to assess and control for longer-term or unintended risks is still a substantial set of tasks, as was described in a presentation by an official from the FDA.

The day also included a presentation from the separate World Health Organization multidisciplinary advisory panel, which held its first meeting in March 2019 with another one having been due this week in Geneva, Switzerland.  At the March meeting, the WHO panel adopted three main recommendations for developing oversight of human genome editing:

  • Establish a structured mechanism for collecting and curating details about proposed and ongoing research;
  • “it would be irresponsible at this time for anyone to proceed with clinical applications [they mean trying to establish a pregnancy or birth] of human germline genome editing”
  • Establish approaches to obtain input from the “broadest possible range of stakeholders” and “explore opportunities for an open, online mechanism for seeking input.”

All that said, the Salk Institute in San Diego is working on a new technique of editing, called SATI (short for intercellular linearized Single homology Arm donor mediated intron-Targeting Integration [say THAT three times fast!], which is expected to be more versatile than the current “preferred” technique called CRISPR-Cas9.  Biologic details between the two differ, but the ethical issues mainly apply to applications, and are therefore the same for both.  But don’t be surprised if you hear about “SATI” for 5-10 minutes in the news sometime.

And scientists at Cornell Medical Center in New York City are trying to gene-edit human sperm to alter the characteristics of children conceived using them.  Pressing ahead with getting ready for the WHO panel’s “clinical applications.”

Mildred Solomon of the Hastings Center has recently added her voice to those pointing out that whether heritable human genome editing should ever be done is not just a matter of weighing benefits vs risks, but involves much more momentous possibilities that should give us pause.  The key graphs:

“Even as [the WHO and US/UK commissions] regroup to produce clearer guidance, however, I sense a shift in the debate. For a very long time, the scientific and bioethical consensus was that we must not do human germ-line modifications—that we should not change gametes and embryos in ways that would be permanent, affecting all future generations. In contrast, somatic modifications, which affect only the person in whom the edits are made, have been mainly uncontroversial.

But that border between germ-line and somatic genome modification is blurring; the zeitgeist feels different. There is a growing sense of inevitability that we will eventually do human germ-line modification and that our only obligation is to wait until it is safe. When that day comes, we may want to make permanent heritable changes to the human species to eradicate otherwise intractable diseases. We should, however, enter this discussion with eyes wide open, considering each application on its own merits and anticipating a wide range of issues that go well beyond safety. Many of these issues are explored in Human Flourishing in an Age of Gene Editing, which will be published by Oxford University Press on August 28, 2019.”

I’m willing to forgive the plug for a book from people at Dr. Solomon’s institution, which is where the editors of the book in question work.  It looks worth checking out.  In the meantime, the US/UK commission has called for “expert evidence” to assist them in the task “to develop a framework for considering technical, scientific, medical, regulatory, and ethical requirements for human germline genome editing, should society conclude such applications are acceptable.”  Follow this link to have a look at their questions.

Technical steps to gene-edited babies

This blog has carried several comments about the prospect of heritable human gene editing.  While nearly no one currently supports bringing such babies to birth—and condemns those who would rush ahead to do so—it appears a distinct minority think that we the human race should, if we could, agree never to do such a thing.  The most cautious perspective is to advocate a moratorium.  Others in favor of proceeding argue that, in essence, with the technologic genie (my term, not necessarily theirs) out of the box, a moratorium, much less a ban, is futile; the “rogues” will press ahead, casting off restraint. 

Advocates of research in this area have argued that a clear, careful, regulated pathway is needed to guide the work through necessary laboratory experiments that should be done first, before making a woman pregnant with a gene-edited embryo, in an attempt to be sure that the process is safe and highly likely to yield the intended result.  Even a moratorium would be, by definition, temporary, leaving the question, “when we will know to remove the moratorium?” to be answered.

A feature article in Nature, accessible without a paid subscription, asks “When will the world be ready” for gene-edited babies.  It walks through scientists’ understanding of what the technical issues are.  It is longer than a blog post, so I can only list key points here.  It is worth a reading by anyone interested, and it is written in sufficiently non-technical language that it’s accessible to the general, non-scientist public.

Key concerns are:

  • How would we be sure that genes that were NOT intended to be edited, in fact were not?
  • How would we be sure that genes that ARE intended to be edited are edited correctly?

These two matters have been addressed to some degree, or could be, in animals, but that would be faster and easier than in human egg cells or human embryos, and the results in animals may be different from what is found in the embryos.  (A further question is how many embryos, observed for how long, would need to be studied to support confidence.)

  • Even if the intended gene edit is made, is it clear that doing so is safe and does not induce other health risks? 

This blog recently reported the UK study that suggested that changes in the gene edited in the twin girls born in China last year might eventually reduce life span.  A criterion promulgated in 2017 by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine was that the edited gene should be common in the population and carry no known risk (including, presumably, no increased risk) of disease.  Such knowledge is lacking for human populations, and what is believed known about the association of genes with risk of future disease has often been developed in Western populations, and may not apply to, for example, Africans.

  • At least some embryos would include some edited and some non-edited cells.  It would not easily be possible, if possible at all, to tell how many of which were present, or needed to be for the editing to work and not cause risks to the embryo’s development into a baby and beyond.  And what answers were obtained would require manipulating healthy embryos after in vitro fertilization.  The outcomes could not be predicted from first principles.
  • What should a clinical trial look like?  How many edited children would have to be born, and their health (and, most likely, the health of their progeny) observed for how long to get provisional answers before practicing the technique more widely?  Or, would the work proceed as IVF did—with dissemination in the general public, and no regulated research?

A US and UK committee is planned to address these questions, with the intent of proposing guidelines in 2020.  This will be important to follow, but with no chance to affect.  Most of us will just be watching, which leads to the last concern:

  • Is the world ready?

If that means, is there an international, or even a national, consensus, then the answer is clearly “no.”  That almost certainly remains “no” if one asks whether there is a future prospect for consensus.  It’s hard to envision something other than different groups and nations holding different judgments, and, most likely, remaining in some degree of irresolvable conflict.

More gene-edited babies on the way

It is reported this week that a Russian scientist plans to edit the genes of more human embryos intending to bring gene-edited babies to birth.  As with the case in China last year, the intent is to edit a gene called CCR5 that is responsible for a receptor that facilitates initiation of HIV infection.  The stated reason is to prevent transmission of infection from the mother, not the father, as in the Chinese case.  Maternal transmission of HIV is a real risk, but there are other ways to prevent it, with medications.  And, as recently reported on this blog, the risks of editing this gene are not understood, nor are the long-term risks of heritable genome editing.

The science press is saying that someone should put a stop, now, to bringing edited embryos to pregnancy and birth.  But it is unlikely that effective action can be taken.  The public will has not been engaged, necessary medical research controls are not in place, and no one can say just who would have the authority to take what sort of action.

So for the moment there is little else to say.  We will hear of more cases.  We will find out later how we will respond.  Clarity and consistency of that response seem unlikely. https:/

Pragmatism and principle regarding human gene editing

You may have seen in the general press that the gene-edited twin girls born in China last year may have had their life expectancies shortened in the bargain.  The doctor who edited the babies’ genes specifically edited one gene, that is associated with susceptibility to HIV infection.  Their father is HIV positive, but that does not put the babies at any health risk.  Further, the gene editing potentially could have increased their future risk for other infections.  Now, a group in the United Kingdom have analyzed mortality data for about 400,000 people who volunteered to have their genetic information placed in a data bank.  They reported that people who have a gene mutation similar—but apparently not identical—to the change made in the Chinese babies had a 21% lower chance of living to age 76 than people without the mutation.  Now, the average age of the people who volunteered their information for the data bank is said to be 56.5 years, so the implication is that there is a shortening of life expectancy after middle age, for people who have lived at least that long. 

One should interpret the U.K. analysis with caution, but the argument seems to be, “see, we don’t know the risks of human gene editing, so we shouldn’t be doing it.”  And indeed we do not know the risks.  But the argument in fact is, “…we shoudn’t be doing this—at least not yet.”  As Joy Riley pointed out on this blog a few days ago, the goal of a moratorium on human genome editing appears to be to allow the scientists working on the technology to take time to build public trust and consensus for it.  “We shouldn’t be doing this, ever” does not appear to be an option.  Long-term readers of this blog may recall numerous posts over the last few years describing this process of gradual acceptance in the scientific community.  The scientists draw an analogy to the 1975 Asilomar conference on recombinant DNA work, which established guard rails around that work.  But the analogy is flawed.  The risks of the work addressed at Asilomar were more readily defined, with shorter time frames to results, than can be addressed with genome editing.  400,000 middle-aged people’s mortality due to any (unspecified) cause over the ensuing quarter-century?  How many edited people, studied for how long, over how many generations, with what consent process, to determine the risks?  There can be no acceptable definition of the risks prior to actually assuming them.  “The babies are the experiment.”

The correct conceptual framework for human genome editing is not benefit-risk analysis, it is deeper reflection on where we should not let engineering encroach on the human organism.  “Keep your ambition off our bodies,” I suppose.  And when we think in those terms, we should quickly recognize territory where we fear to tread at all, not just slow down.

Then a Miracle Occurs…

If a picture is worth a thousand words, then a single-paneled comic is worth a thousand more. Sydney Harris is a famous cartoonist who has the gift of poking fun at science, causing scientists (and the rest of us) to take a second look at what they are doing. My favorite of his cartoons shows two curmudgeonly scientists at the chalkboard, the second scrutinizing the equations of the first. On the left side of the chalkboard is the starting equation demanding a solution. On the right is the elegant solution. In the middle, the first scientist has written: “Then a Miracle Occurs”. The second scientist then suggests to his colleague: “I think you should be more explicit here in step two” (the cartoon is obviously better).

Recently, in my usual scavenging around the internet for interesting articles on artificial intelligence (AI), I came across a Wired magazine article by Mark Harris describing a Silicon Valley robotics expert named Anthony Levandowski who is in the process of starting a church based on AI called Way of the Future. If their website is any indication, Way of the Future Church is still very much “in progress”. Still, the website does offer some information on what their worldview may look like in a section called Things we believe. They believe intelligence is “not rooted in biology” and that the “creation of ‘super intelligence’ is inevitable”. They believe that “just like animals have rights, our creation(s) (‘machines’ or whatever we call them) should have rights too when they show signs of intelligence (still to be defined of course).” And finally:

“We believe in science (the universe came into existence 13.7 billion years ago and if you can’t re-create/test something it doesn’t exist). There is no such thing as “supernatural” powers. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.”

This is all a lot to unpack – too much for this humble blog space. Here, we are interested in the impact such a religion may or may not have on bioethics. Since one’s worldview influences how one views bioethical dilemmas, how would a worldview that considered AI divine or worthy of worship deal with future challenges between humans and computers? There is a suggestion on their website that the Way of the Future Church views the future AI “entity” as potentially viewing some of humanity as “unfriendly” towards itself. Does this imply a future problem with equal distribution of justice? One commentator has pointed out “our digital deity may end up bringing about our doom rather than our salvation.” (The Matrix or Terminator, anyone?)

I have no doubt that AI will continue to improve to the point where computers (really, the software that controls them) will be able to do some very remarkable things. Computers are already assisting us in virtually all aspects of our daily lives, and we will undoubtedly continue to rely on computers more and more. Presently, all of this occurs because some very smart humans have written some very complex software that appears to behave, well, intelligently. But appearing intelligent or, ultimately, self-aware, is a far cry from actually being intelligent and, ultimately, self-aware. Just because the present trajectory and pace of computer design and programming continues to accelerate doesn’t guarantee that computers will ever reach Kurzweil’s Singularity Point or Way of the Future Church’s Divinity Point.

For now, since Way of the Future Church doesn’t believe in the supernatural, they will need to be more explicit in Step Two.

The (at least, an) other side of the argument about heritable human gene editing

By Jon Holmlund

Last week’s New England Journal of Medicine (subscription required) included four articles addressing heritable human gene editing (HHGE, if you’ll allow the acronym).  All assumed that it would or should go forward, under oversight, rather than seeking a moratorium.  One took the position that a moratorium is a bad idea, because the “rogues” would press ahead anyway, and the opportunity to create meaningful partial barriers to at least slow down what could easily be a runaway train.

This week, a group of prominent scientists in the field, representing seven nations, take the other side in Nature.  They call for an international moratorium on HHGE.  This is not a permanent ban, nor is it an international treaty banning HHGE until a subsequent action removed the ban.  Rather, they propose that for a fixed time (they suggest 5 years), nations as a group agree to block, and scientists and clinicians agree to abstain from, any attempt to bring a gene-edited baby to pregnancy or birth.  The scientists writing this week would allow research on human embryos to proceed, as part of a broader effort to define the reliability and safety of the editing—something they say has clearly not yet been established. 

During the moratorium, hard work would need to be done for societies to define what people should be edited.  The scientists suggest that HHGE would rightly be limited, pretty strictly, to “genetic correction,” meaning cases in which a defect of a single gene known to cause, or almost certainly to cause, a serious disease would be corrected.  They would not permit genetic enhancement absent “extensive study” into long term and unintended effects, and even then, they say, “substantial uncertainty would probably remain.”  Genetic enhancement, in their view, would include altering genes that increase the risk of diseases.  They don’t cite examples, but it appears that abnormalities like BRCA1 mutations that increase cancer risk are in view here.  Further, which medical conditions would have no alternative to HHGE must be determined.  In most cases, IVF and preimplantation genetic diagnosis would likely suffice, obviating the need to take the profound additional step of HHGE (whatever one may think of the moral status of the human embryo).  The cases eligible for HHGE, they suggest, would be “exceedingly rare,” limited to essentially unavoidable situations for which a “small minority” of genetic diseases is caused by a genetic abnormality that is frequent in the population.  (It seems like such situations would be rare indeed.)  In such cases, they say, “legitimate needs” of couples seeking to have unaffected, biologically related offspring would need to be weighed against “other issues at stake.”

Most critically—and, hardest to achieve—the scientists envision a broad, intensive effort, that is not limited to or driven by scientists and physicians, and that goes beyond current regulatory regimes to include all aspects of society in an effort to achieve broad consensus—neither simple majority nor unanimity, but a situation in which the clear, large majority opinion exists on when and how HHGE should be countenanced.

Whether these tasks could be pulled off in five short years is something to wonder about, and even allowing planning for HHGE under these constricted circumstances raises questions about how we understand our humanity, whether embryos should be treated as raw materials in development of new treatments, and other matters that go deeper than discussions of medical, scientific, and population risks and benefits.  Were the tasks achieved under a moratorium, the authors envision that individual nations would be sovereignly free to go separate ways, with some allowing HHGE, but perhaps others not.

The editors of Nature, without taking a side about a moratorium per se, call for rules to be set, broad societal conversations to take place, research to be carefully overseen to be sure it is on a “safe and sensible” path and to identify and stop the “rogues,” and journals to refuse to publish work that transgresses limits in place at the time.

With something this big, a “presumption to forebear,” rather than a proactive drive to progress, should be the dominating sentiment.  The details are too complex to address in a few articles, a few short blog posts, a few minutes on cable news, or a few passing conversations wedged into the cracks of busy lives.  We should slow down.  We should ALL call for a moratorium. b

One side of the argument about heritable human gene editing

The current issue of the New England Journal of Medicine (subscription required) includes four new articles addressing heritable human gene editing.

George Daley (who was also discussed in a post on this blog last December 6) argues that work must proceed to find a responsible way of editing the human germline for people with genetic diseases that are devastating, untreatable, and largely unavoidable unless affected people forego having children.  This would be a limited use of heritable gene editing, he holds, although it may ultimately become attractive to the 1-4% of offspring of unrelated people who have genetic diseases, who seek to eliminate risk of passing on those diseases, or risk of them, to future generations.  He thinks that “our ignorance” regarding genetic complexity will ultimately prevent attempts at begetting genetically enhanced, “designer” children.

Matthew Porteus reviews “the new class of medicines” becoming possible due to DNA editing.  These include genetically modified cells as drugs, other attempts to treat existing people with known genetic disease by editing genes in part of their bodies, and, eventually, editing humans so that the genes they transmit to future generations are permanently altered. 

Lisa Rosenbaum reviews several of the objections to heritable gene editing that can stand in the way of scientific and social consensus.  Among these, she points out that people with disabilities often live very fruitful lives—lives that may never have come to be if their parents had the chance to edit their genomes, or not brought them to birth in favor of another embryo selected, without editing, through preimplantation genetic diagnosis.  But some disabilities are too severe to allow fruitful lives.  In such cases, she asks, “who is qualified to decide whether it is ethical to alter these children’s fate?”  If you think you can edit a baby destined to suffer severe genetic disease, are you obligated to try?  In that case, there’s “no such thing as an ‘informed decision’…you can’t know until you know.”

Alta Charo, who has co-led several recent prominent international conferences on human gene editing, argues that the “rogues” will proceed to edit people irresponsibly, even—and perhaps especially—in the face of a moratorium.  A more effect approach would be an “ecosystem” of restrictions, including formal regulation, restriction on supplies of raw materials (that is, human eggs, sperm, and embryos) for experimentation, patent and licensing restrictions, health insurance policies, liability for lawsuits, and the like.  Broad, international consensus is an unlikely prospect, she argues, but individual nations may enact their own regimes.  Whether this would really stop a black market is questionable, and heritable editing would become the province of favored entities (government or industry), I suppose—perhaps slowing the whole process down but leaving objections to the practice unsatisfied.

Each of these authors condemns He Jiankui’s claimed editing of Chinese twin girls who were born late last year.  Each of them also clearly takes the position that human gene editing should be regulated, either because it should proceed or because it will, inevitably, proceed. 

None of the authors suggests that heritable human gene editing should “never” be done, the position Francis Collins, the head of the US National Institutes of Health, took on Gerry Baker’s WSJ at Large on the Fox Business Network on Feb 22, 2019.  (I would link it but it appears that the clip has not been preserved on the network’s website.)

This blog recently recounted some reasons why heritable human gene editing should not be pursued.  But the train appears to have left the station.