“Why did you make me this way?!”

Recently, Jon Holmlund brought us up to date on an effort in Russia to proceed with CRISPR gene editing aimed at eliminating deafness. Coincidently, a recent MedPage article was posted regarding the ethics of using pre-implantation genetic diagnosis and IVF to purposefully select FOR an embryo with genetic deafness for a couple, both of whom were deaf. Both links discuss some of the ethical problems with using medical reproductive and genetic technology for these purposes. While we presently lack the ability to use polygene scoring to accurately “produce” the babies we want, I want to use the remainder of today’s blog to consider what obligations, if any, a genetic engineer (or parents that use their skills) may have toward future children designed using these growing array of genetic technologies.

Deafness seems to me to be rather curious in that it is considered either a serious disability or a desirable trait, depending upon your cultural worldview. No one in any culture would purposefully select for cystic fibrosis or Tay-Sachs diseases for their child. In fact, most want to use medical reproductive and genetic technologies to eliminate these diseases. On the other end of the genetic trait spectrum, some parents want to use these same technologies to purposefully select for more trivial traits for their children – hair and eye color, for instance. Given the triviality of these traits, I hear no one mounting an effort to genetically eliminate any particular hair and eye color. Perhaps I am living a sheltered life?

Nonetheless, with regard to deafness, prior to the promises of our new reproductive technologies, if you were born deaf and did not like it, you could only shake your fist at God or Nature. Now (or very soon), you can shake your fist directly at another human, such as your regional genetic engineer (or your parents who purposefully used her technological skills) and demand a direct answer as to why they purposefully made (or did not make) you deaf. Maybe this angst will be more widespread for the many more trivial traits such as eye or hair color rather than something more significant like deafness?

Building a child is about to become much harder for parents as they become directly responsible for both interior (genetic illnesses) and exterior (hair and eye color) design issues.

“Why DID you make me this way?!”

“Why did YOU make me this way?!”

I wonder how many genetic designers (or the parents that will ultimately bear the direct responsibility for having used the technology) really want that type of responsibility?

Is there already fine print in PGD-IVF contracts holding the doctors/scientists/geneticists harmless for the choices the parents make?

I can’t wait for the late night TV commercials: “Were you born with brown eyes and feel emotionally scarred because you have always wanted blue? Call our law offices as you may be entitled to financial compensation …”

Skepticism about polygene scores to select for IQ and height

One caution when objecting to the prospect of heritable human gene editing is to take care not to overestimate what it technically possible.  That is, an all-too-easy argument is that attempts to edit a disease gene will lead, by momentum if nothing else, to “designer babies,” with children not just being genetically selected but in fact engineered in great detail for traits like attractiveness, athletic prowess, height, and intelligence.  This contributor to this blog has repeatedly taken the position that heritable human gene editing is a project that fundamentally alters the way we see ourselves and each other; that divides the human race into “actors” and “acted upons;” that has no prospect of prospectively assessing long-term, unintended consequences, to an individual subject, subsequent generations, or society at large; and that fortifies a perspective of admitting to the human race only those members we want to admit.

Along the way, we must keep in mind that “designer babies” are not likely to be feasible in the foreseeable future.  One recently-reported case in point is a study by scientists at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem.  A preprint (in advance of publication in a peer-reviewed journal, it is said) is publicly available here.  I daresay the details will be inaccessible to all but specialists in genetics, but a summary of key points is provided by a technical writer at a website called GenomeWeb.  In brief, some of those points:

  • A score based on assessment of multiple genes has previously been suggested to explain only about 5% of the difference between individuals in IQ (300,000 people genetically tested) or 25% in height (700,000 people tested).
  • These researchers tested about 1000 people, and considered about 15,000 genetic variations.
  • They looked at offspring of actual couples and also “simulated” matches for about 500 would-be couples made from individuals for whom they had genomic data.
  • Of note, they appear to have looked at “SNPs,” or “single nucleotide polymorphisms,” which are relatively easy to catalog across the 30,000 or so human genes, and which themselves run into the hundreds of thousands across those genes, but SNPs are far from the whole genetic story.  Larger differences in genes, or how those genes are translated into biological traits, is much more complex to assess.
  • They surmised that, if their score were used to try to predict height, the average gain would be about 2.5 cm (about one inch), with a range of 1-6 cm.  If used to predict IQ, the average gain would be about 2.5 points, with a range of 1-7 points.
  • Then they also looked at 28 actual families with lots of kids, from 3 to 20 (!).
  • For the actual families, the score predicted to cause the tallest child did so for only 7 of the 28 families, and the highest scoring child was actually shorter than average in the family in 5 of the 28 families.  No attempt to assess IQ for these real families, apparently.
  • They point out other reasons why trying to select for IQ might be problematic—potential association with autism and anorexia, for example, as well as just general complexity.
  • They suggest that for most people undergoing IVF, and creating fewer than 10 embryos in the process with less than 100% success after implantation in the womb, the odds are not good for making a reliable forecast of an offspring’s height or IQ.
  • They make these points without commenting more broadly on the ethics or policy wisdom of allowing or encouraging heritable genome editing to proceed.

A complex story, and a developing one, to be sure, but one should not be too quick to accept grandiose promises for predicting complex traits based on genetics.  At least for now, those appear to be rather “ahead of the puck,” shall we say.

Future new CRISPR baby in Russia?

Nature reports that Russian scientist Denis Rebrikov has started experiments intended to lead to editing a gene, in human oocytes (egg cells) associated with human deafness.  Prior reports had claimed that he was working on eggs from deaf women in an attempt to repair the defect and, presumably, provide a normal egg for IVF.  This apparently is not the case—yet.  At the moment, he is using eggs donated by women who can hear, to do experiments on editing the gene in question and ferret out what might go wrong in the process—that is, is the right gene edited, is only the right gene edited, and related questions.   

He says he has had discussions with deaf women, but has not yet sought approval from the Russian regulators to try IVF with a gene-edited egg.  The regulators appear reluctant, and Rebrikov says he will not proceed without prior approval.  He had previously said he wants to edit the same HIV-susceptibility gene that was edited in twin babies born in China last year, but it looks like there aren’t too many candidates for that approaching him, and that attempt has not gone forward—yet.

He’s clearly impatient.  Other scientists working in the gene editing field—which has broad applications short of making “gene-edited babies”—are urging patience, and saying that it is at a minimum rashly irresponsible to rush ahead with the effort, particularly for non-fatal conditions like deafness.  And they are right—too little is known to justify the effort—yet—even if one thinks there are conditions for which it ethically could or even should be attempted.

But “the field” is working hard to define a path forward.  The second meeting of an international panel discussing how to move ahead meets in London November 14-15.

Nature includes a brief Q+A with Dr. Rebrikov.  Forgive me, but some of it is chilling, reflecting blindness to the deeper issues.  Paraphrasing selected questions, quoting the answers, offering italicized commentary:

  • Question:  don’t the risks of trying this outweigh the benefits, for a non-life-threatening condition like deafness?  Answer: “Any new drug carries certain risks. The deafness model is the most appropriate for applying genomic editing at the zygote [newly fertilized egg] stage. And it is only for deaf parents to decide whether … deafness is enough to not expect the same for their child.”  Beg pardon:  heritable gene editing is NOT A DRUG, and the risk-benefit decision is NOT solely the province of private decisions about reproductive-related risks.
  • Question:  the regulators point out that editing people is currently not permitted.  Answer: “Laws are written to change them. As soon as we demonstrate the safety of technology, the rule will change.”  Ahem: some laws are enduring, even eternal—cf. divine law. Recognizing that the regulators’ judgment is not divine, eternal law, reverent attention to the latter should be a paramount concern.  And ‘safety’ appears to be narrowly defined here, blissfully ignoring the deeper human questions posed by modifying people’s genes permanently.
  • Question: people trying to build a regulatory framework for human genome editing think researchers should slow down until the framework is agreed upon. What do you say?  Answer: “Are you serious? Where did you see the researcher willing to slow down?”  Hello!  McFly!  We are not ASKING you to slow down.
  • Question: Russian regulators and the World Health Organization say it is too soon to create edited children.  What do you say?  Answer:  “What does it mean, too soon? Lenin said ‘yesterday was too early, tomorrow it will be too late.”.

Lenin?? LENIN?!  For real??

Addressing gene editing with “thin” bioethics

Yesterday’s post on this blog, by Steve Phillips, warned that a narrow, “rules limited” approach to bioethics reduces ethics in science and medicine to matters of regulatory compliance and risks making thoroughly logical conclusions based on faulty premises that are adopted without regarding “deeper ethical thinking” for which scientists’ thinking must be brought under the discipline of broader humanitarian reflection if correct basic notions of what it is to be human, and what humans should be up to, are to be arrived at.

A different but closely related way to look at this was suggested by John Evans of the University of California, San Diego in his contribution to Human Flourishing in an Age of Gene Editing, a new collection of essays, edited by Erik Parens and Josephine Johnson.  In brief, Prof. Evans commented that too much of bioethics is “thin,” reduced to the Belmont principalism (respect for persons/autonomy; beneficence/nonmalificence; justice) governs human subject research.  This “thin” bioethics is convenient for regulators to use to derive a manageable set of rules, and for scientists to, if you will, hide behind (my expression, not Prof. Evans’s).  Rather, he writes, we must be willing to criticize the assumption that all we need to ask about technology is how to use it, and seek a deeper wisdom about what is a good or worthy human life, for individuals or communities.  In making this argument, he appeals to “critics of technology,” both politically conservative (Leon Kass) and politically liberal (Jacques Ellul).  Jacques Ellul!  How often does anyone hear him mentioned anymore?  How many of us have read him?  (I venture fewer than should!) 

This criticism of worshipping at the Belmont altar, if you will, is hardly new, but it’s critical, especially when something as profound as heritable human gene editing is being considered.  You see, Belmont principalism is quite robust when asking how to deal with clinical trials.  But it really most closely applies to things like regulated drug development, and germline gene editing goes far beyond drug development.  It isn’t drug development at all, and cramming it into the conceptual framework of drug development is fundamentally misguided.

Nonetheless, the International Commission on the Clinical Use of Human Germline Genome Editing appears to be proceeding merrily along the drug development path. The second meeting, in London, is next month; one can sign up for a webcast. Just check out the agenda, especially day 2’s planned sessions on risk-benefit analysis and defining “a translational pathway.”  That language applies to new therapy development, not fundamental alterations of human inheritance.

One should keep in mind also that the assumption one can assess risks and benefits is only as good as one’s data.  This week it is reported that scientists have retracted an analysis suggesting that babies edited for an HIV-susceptibility gene might be at risk of relatively short life spans, something this blog poster readily jumped on in his June 6, 2019 post.   But, then again, so did the prestigious journal Nature Medicine, so I guess I shouldn’t beat myself up too much.  Seems the researchers didn’t define matters carefully enough.  Even if this particular analysis, from a large database of human genetic data, was flawed, similar analyses in the future might be helpful, it is argued.  Until more is known, it is further argued, one should not seize on a retracted analysis to infer a full “green light” to edit unborn babies’ genes.  But that may take “thicker” bioethics than whatever risk-benefit analysis we think we can muster now.

Fewer U.S. Twins and the Development of IVF

Readers of this blog may have seen the report in the general press that, after three decades of increases, the rate of twin births in the U.S. has declined by 4% from 2014 to 2018.

Those three decades correspond to the era of IVF, since the birth of Louise Brown in England in 1978.  It seems likely that changes in IVF practice contributes at least in part, if not substantially, to the trend in twin births.

Specifically, doctors at IVF clinics are more commonly implanting only one, rather than more than one, embryo back into a prospective mother’s womb with each attempt at a live birth.  Multiple pregnancies—even twins, not just “Octomom” scenarios—carry increased risk for mother and babies.  Previously, two or more embryos were implanted in an effort to increase the chance that at least one would make it to live birth.  Sometimes, “selective abortion” was practiced to reduce the number of initially multiple pregnancies to one.  Now, it appears that gradually increasing success rates of IVF are supporting single-embryo transfer as a standard practice.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), which provides a substantial amount of information on the current status of IVF on its website, summarizes the changes in the percentage of single-embryo transfers in recent years—increasing from 11.6% of non-donor-egg transfers in 2007 to 39.9% in 2016.

To the extent that this reduces the practice of selective abortion and, one hopes, decreases the number of embryos created but kept frozen, never to be born, at IVF clinics, this is a welcome development.  The Christian Medical Dental Association takes the position that, in IVF, the number of embryos should be kept to a minimum, and all embryos created should be so created with the intent of having the genetic mother carry all of them in pregnancy, to live birth one hopes.

IVF remains a transformative enabling technology that facilitates contractual arrangements for reproduction, profound changes in the structure of families, and the use of pre-implantation genetic diagnosis to control what sort of people are allowed to be born.  One might view these developments as non-physical harms, that alter our overall experience of being human in ways that may properly be subject to question.

And: the rate of twin birth is still twice what it was in 1980.  If one sees a mom or dad pushing a stroller with fraternal twins, chances are they are IVF kids.

“Velvet Eugenics”

Human Flourishing in an Age of Gene Editing is a new collection of essays, edited by Erik Parens and Josephine Johnson.  In the introduction, the editors explain they are concerned with “nonphysical harms” of human gene editing.  That is, these harms would not affect bodily systems, but harm “people’s psyches…[their] experiences of being persons,” and could impair human flourishing.  These harms could be incurred not only by gene editing but also by use of other “reprogenic” technologies such as preimplantation genetic diagnosis (PGD) and prenatal diagnosis.

Your correspondent has just begun to read this collection.  In the first entry, “Welcoming the Unexpected,” bioethicist Rosemarie Garland-Thomson of Emory University, takes the view that flourishing is not a matter of proximity to some ideal of health or human excellence, but is, for each person, a growing into expression of that person’s unique capabilities.  Accordingly, rather than embrace a project of eliminating disabilities, society should work to make the environment more welcoming to people with those conditions—many of which, after all, need not impair a person’s ability to live a life of happiness and contribution to others.  Communities have an obligation, she says, “to support the distinctiveness of its members according to the egalitarian principles of justice, liberty, and equality,” and “build environments that…support the widest spectrum of embodiments…in which human embodied existence can successfully thrive as it is.”  Put another way, we should not be building a regime in which we are deciding what sort of people we will allow to be born, but we should be ready to welcome and embrace the ones who are.  In this, Professor Garland-Thomson sounds a “caution against an aggressive normalization imperative…an outlook of humility about the human capacity to control future circumstances through present action…against the arrogance of [what one writer called] ‘the danger of a single story.'”

We should, she writes, adopt a stance of “growing” rather than “making” human beings, and “reconsider the logic of a velvet eugenics that would standardize human variation in the interest of individual, market-driven liberty and at the expense of social justice and the common good.”  In this, she embraces the argument of contemporary German philosopher Jurgen Habermas that rejects “a liberal eugenics regulated by supply and demand.”  One can be forgiven for hearing in this an echo of C.S. Lewis’s worries about “conditioners” in The Abolition of Man.

This is set in the author’s description of her ongoing friendship with three other women, all, like her, married PhD’s who like good wine, good food, and are amply supported by technology and community.  One of her friends is congenitally deaf, another has hereditary blindness, the third has a genetic muscular condition, and the author herself was born with what is now called “complicated ectodactyly,” with “asymmetric unusual hands and forearms.”  The sort of thing your correspondent understands the Chinese to be trying to eliminate through the use of PGD.

A remarkable essay to lead off a collection that appears worthy of careful consideration.

Heritable genome editing: a too-short list of 12 questions

Last week, I discussed efforts by a US/UK commission formed to recommend a framework for regulating and monitoring heritable human gene editing.  This commission has called for “expert evidence” to assist them in the task “to develop a framework for considering technical, scientific, medical, regulatory, and ethical requirements for human germline genome editing, should society conclude such applications are acceptable.”  The deadline is September 27, 2019 to make recommendations.  The website to do so appears open to the public. 

Now, I suppose the commission will ultimately decide who qualifies as an “expert,” and several of the questions are decidedly technical.  But I submit that many who read this blog qualify as experts in bioethics or in some aspect of biomedicine, and will be able to offer considered responses to at least some of the questions.  So I encourage readers of this blog to access the link and weigh in.

I have yet to complete my effort.  I started last week, then pulled back in the middle.  Responses to each question appear to be submitted in real time, and the possibility to save work (there are ‘”back” and “next” buttons) for future editing seemed unclear.  And these questions merit careful responses.  So I decided to wait for another day—before the September 27 deadline!

If you would like to mull over possible responses in advance of trying to offer them online, I have copied them here, for advance thinking before submitting at the online portal, or to inform reflection and discussion otherwise:

  1. Which diseases and conditions, if any, do you see as appropriate for human germline genome editing?
  2. If there were to be an appropriate use case for human germline genome editing, what evidence would be needed to proceed to first in human use?
  3. What is the status of editing mechanisms for early stage human embryos (e.g., using different editing techniques, improving homology directed repair, etc.)? What are the factors that predict whether single nucleotide changes or other intended modifications in human embryos will be correct? To what extent will genome editing affect the viability of embryos?
  4. What is the status of the technology for validating that a correct edit (on target characterization) has been made and that unintended edits (e.g., off target effects, mosaicism, etc.) have not occurred in a range of cell and tissue types? If possible, please provide evidence drawn from work on induced pluripotent stem cells, embryonic stem cells, and/or early stage human embryos.
  5. What is the status of generating cell lines from human and non-human germline stem cells?
  6. How might animal models inform the editing in human embryos (inclusive of analysis of phenotypic correction)?
  7. To what extent do different genetic backgrounds affect success and phenotypic outcomes after genome editing?
  8. What is the success rate of full-term pregnancies following pre-implantation genetic diagnosis? What affects this (e.g., age, number of oocytes harvested, technique used, etc.)?
  9. What are the appropriate mechanisms for obtaining informed consent, long-term monitoring of the future children, assessing potential effects in subsequent generations, and addressing untoward effects? Are there best practices from: a) assisted reproductive technologies; b) pre-implantation genetic diagnosis; c) gene transfer research for children; d) mitochondrial replacement therapy; and e) somatic genome editing?
  10. How should we think about the inter-generational medical (e.g., genetic changes to the genome) and ethical implications of human germline genome editing (e.g., potential harms and benefits)? How should the rights of future generations and the wider human population be taken into account?
  11. What international oversight structures would need to be in place to facilitate, in a responsible way, a path forward for germline genome editing?
  12. Are there any topics or issues that are not covered by the above questions that you think the Commission should attend to during its deliberations?

This last question, of course, is the most pregnant of all.  The list of questions is so technical, so question-begging about whether heritable gene editing should be done at all, that the commission should receive carefully-considered reflections on the meaning of the potential enterprise, how the future practice of heritable genome editing should not be a foregone conclusion, and how and why the right answer to “when should we edit human genes heritably” might well be “never.”

By all means, reader of this blog, go online and offer what you reasonably can to this important discussion!

Much going on about heritable genome editing

The first meeting of the International Commission on the Clinical Use of Human Germline Genome Editing was held in Washington, DC on August 13.  This is a US/UK commission convened by the UK Royal Society, the US National Academy of Medicine, and the US National Academy of the Sciences.  Space for in-person attendance at these meetings appears limited, but information is freely accessible on the internet.  For example, the meeting materials and videos from the August 13 can be accessed here, and one can register to be on the Commission’s mailing list at this link. 

It is challenging for anyone with a “day job” whose work is not dedicated to the field of gene editing to try to keep up with developments, so the open access to information is welcome.  The August 13 meeting included numerous basic science discussions as well as some from biotechnology companies seeking to develop gene editing approaches.  As discussed often on this blog and elsewhere, so-called “somatic” gene editing—that is, gene therapy of fully-formed individuals by editing an undesirable gene such as one known to cause disease–appears generally to fall within the existing regime of human research ethics and regulation and pose relatively few unique ethical issues.   The day included industry presentations regarding somatic gene editing, either “in vivo”—involving injecting the gene editor into a person—or “ex vivo”—involving removing cells from a person, editing the cells in the medical lab, then re-injecting the gene-edited cells into the person’s body as a form of treatment.  In neither case is the editing inherited across generations, avoiding the larger issues of manipulating human beings more fundamentally, and, as your present correspondent has consistently argued, unacceptably.

Even for somatic gene editing, however, “getting it right” in the form of editing the genes intended, and only those, and developing approaches to assess and control for longer-term or unintended risks is still a substantial set of tasks, as was described in a presentation by an official from the FDA.

The day also included a presentation from the separate World Health Organization multidisciplinary advisory panel, which held its first meeting in March 2019 with another one having been due this week in Geneva, Switzerland.  At the March meeting, the WHO panel adopted three main recommendations for developing oversight of human genome editing:

  • Establish a structured mechanism for collecting and curating details about proposed and ongoing research;
  • “it would be irresponsible at this time for anyone to proceed with clinical applications [they mean trying to establish a pregnancy or birth] of human germline genome editing”
  • Establish approaches to obtain input from the “broadest possible range of stakeholders” and “explore opportunities for an open, online mechanism for seeking input.”

All that said, the Salk Institute in San Diego is working on a new technique of editing, called SATI (short for intercellular linearized Single homology Arm donor mediated intron-Targeting Integration [say THAT three times fast!], which is expected to be more versatile than the current “preferred” technique called CRISPR-Cas9.  Biologic details between the two differ, but the ethical issues mainly apply to applications, and are therefore the same for both.  But don’t be surprised if you hear about “SATI” for 5-10 minutes in the news sometime.

And scientists at Cornell Medical Center in New York City are trying to gene-edit human sperm to alter the characteristics of children conceived using them.  Pressing ahead with getting ready for the WHO panel’s “clinical applications.”

Mildred Solomon of the Hastings Center has recently added her voice to those pointing out that whether heritable human genome editing should ever be done is not just a matter of weighing benefits vs risks, but involves much more momentous possibilities that should give us pause.  The key graphs:

“Even as [the WHO and US/UK commissions] regroup to produce clearer guidance, however, I sense a shift in the debate. For a very long time, the scientific and bioethical consensus was that we must not do human germ-line modifications—that we should not change gametes and embryos in ways that would be permanent, affecting all future generations. In contrast, somatic modifications, which affect only the person in whom the edits are made, have been mainly uncontroversial.

But that border between germ-line and somatic genome modification is blurring; the zeitgeist feels different. There is a growing sense of inevitability that we will eventually do human germ-line modification and that our only obligation is to wait until it is safe. When that day comes, we may want to make permanent heritable changes to the human species to eradicate otherwise intractable diseases. We should, however, enter this discussion with eyes wide open, considering each application on its own merits and anticipating a wide range of issues that go well beyond safety. Many of these issues are explored in Human Flourishing in an Age of Gene Editing, which will be published by Oxford University Press on August 28, 2019.”

I’m willing to forgive the plug for a book from people at Dr. Solomon’s institution, which is where the editors of the book in question work.  It looks worth checking out.  In the meantime, the US/UK commission has called for “expert evidence” to assist them in the task “to develop a framework for considering technical, scientific, medical, regulatory, and ethical requirements for human germline genome editing, should society conclude such applications are acceptable.”  Follow this link to have a look at their questions.

Technical steps to gene-edited babies

This blog has carried several comments about the prospect of heritable human gene editing.  While nearly no one currently supports bringing such babies to birth—and condemns those who would rush ahead to do so—it appears a distinct minority think that we the human race should, if we could, agree never to do such a thing.  The most cautious perspective is to advocate a moratorium.  Others in favor of proceeding argue that, in essence, with the technologic genie (my term, not necessarily theirs) out of the box, a moratorium, much less a ban, is futile; the “rogues” will press ahead, casting off restraint. 

Advocates of research in this area have argued that a clear, careful, regulated pathway is needed to guide the work through necessary laboratory experiments that should be done first, before making a woman pregnant with a gene-edited embryo, in an attempt to be sure that the process is safe and highly likely to yield the intended result.  Even a moratorium would be, by definition, temporary, leaving the question, “when we will know to remove the moratorium?” to be answered.

A feature article in Nature, accessible without a paid subscription, asks “When will the world be ready” for gene-edited babies.  It walks through scientists’ understanding of what the technical issues are.  It is longer than a blog post, so I can only list key points here.  It is worth a reading by anyone interested, and it is written in sufficiently non-technical language that it’s accessible to the general, non-scientist public.

Key concerns are:

  • How would we be sure that genes that were NOT intended to be edited, in fact were not?
  • How would we be sure that genes that ARE intended to be edited are edited correctly?

These two matters have been addressed to some degree, or could be, in animals, but that would be faster and easier than in human egg cells or human embryos, and the results in animals may be different from what is found in the embryos.  (A further question is how many embryos, observed for how long, would need to be studied to support confidence.)

  • Even if the intended gene edit is made, is it clear that doing so is safe and does not induce other health risks? 

This blog recently reported the UK study that suggested that changes in the gene edited in the twin girls born in China last year might eventually reduce life span.  A criterion promulgated in 2017 by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine was that the edited gene should be common in the population and carry no known risk (including, presumably, no increased risk) of disease.  Such knowledge is lacking for human populations, and what is believed known about the association of genes with risk of future disease has often been developed in Western populations, and may not apply to, for example, Africans.

  • At least some embryos would include some edited and some non-edited cells.  It would not easily be possible, if possible at all, to tell how many of which were present, or needed to be for the editing to work and not cause risks to the embryo’s development into a baby and beyond.  And what answers were obtained would require manipulating healthy embryos after in vitro fertilization.  The outcomes could not be predicted from first principles.
  • What should a clinical trial look like?  How many edited children would have to be born, and their health (and, most likely, the health of their progeny) observed for how long to get provisional answers before practicing the technique more widely?  Or, would the work proceed as IVF did—with dissemination in the general public, and no regulated research?

A US and UK committee is planned to address these questions, with the intent of proposing guidelines in 2020.  This will be important to follow, but with no chance to affect.  Most of us will just be watching, which leads to the last concern:

  • Is the world ready?

If that means, is there an international, or even a national, consensus, then the answer is clearly “no.”  That almost certainly remains “no” if one asks whether there is a future prospect for consensus.  It’s hard to envision something other than different groups and nations holding different judgments, and, most likely, remaining in some degree of irresolvable conflict.

More gene-edited babies on the way

It is reported this week that a Russian scientist plans to edit the genes of more human embryos intending to bring gene-edited babies to birth.  As with the case in China last year, the intent is to edit a gene called CCR5 that is responsible for a receptor that facilitates initiation of HIV infection.  The stated reason is to prevent transmission of infection from the mother, not the father, as in the Chinese case.  Maternal transmission of HIV is a real risk, but there are other ways to prevent it, with medications.  And, as recently reported on this blog, the risks of editing this gene are not understood, nor are the long-term risks of heritable genome editing.

The science press is saying that someone should put a stop, now, to bringing edited embryos to pregnancy and birth.  But it is unlikely that effective action can be taken.  The public will has not been engaged, necessary medical research controls are not in place, and no one can say just who would have the authority to take what sort of action.

So for the moment there is little else to say.  We will hear of more cases.  We will find out later how we will respond.  Clarity and consistency of that response seem unlikely. https:/